Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 01:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 78th strongest of the 150 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 11 at 9:09PM EDT until June 11 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Urban PEI: 1,018,787 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 27, 2026 · score 52 · 2.5 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 52 · 2.6 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 6.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 38.5677, -76.6389 |
| Nearest City | St. Charles (25 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 1.0M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-12T01:09:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.785430f57f535b0ce9f3333389ad7646 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-12T01:09:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-06-12T01:10:55.381Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA; Dorchester, MD; Wicomico, MD; Caroline, MD; Kent, MD; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 11 at 9:09PM EDT until June 11 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-06-11T21:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.785430f57f535b0ce9f3333389ad76460270855b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a61fcb5bc26bdaf273e0383f4f7470bc8b487f47.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fb449c37b46999b61a6c5d728e81438221452636.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3465cbaa0f04431aea1bc947f8838d495fa9fad9.002.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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